As I've done before, I compiled the 538 win probabilities for 4 teams up until a point (around March 31st) where they would have the same number of games played, allowing me to illustrate those odds on the same W-L record scale.
That encompasses 8 games for DEN and MEM, 9 for DAL and 10 for POR.
- You can start seeing a little bit of separation between the Nuggets and the Blazers and Mavs. Having said that, it is entirely possible that either of them catch up. Portland next 3 games are really tough for them, though.
- There is a non zero chance that we can catch up with the Grizzlies, who also have a tough schedule (San Antonio twice, GS once)
- With 7 games to play after the time point of this graph, what do you see happening?