http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/news/story?page=SummerForecast10-WestStandings

1	Los Angeles Lakers	58	24	.707	57	25	.695
The heavyweight champs have given us a True Hollywood Story of classic characters: the loner hero, the European intellectual, the wise old cap'n, the Queensbridge kid, the loopy lefty, the young star on the make, the eccentric owner and his family, and the Zen Master. Oh yeah, they're pretty good at basketball, too.
2	*Oklahoma City Thunder	52	30	.634	50	32	.610
Is this the same team that stood 1-16 just 20 months ago? Yes, and it's the same team that put a serious scare in the champs in Round 1. In what could be a wild Western scramble for second, our panel gives the Thunder 0.21 wins more than the Mavs, meaning a potential West finals bid for the Durant-Westbrook-Green team.
3	*Dallas Mavericks	52	30	.634	55	27	.671
We foresee an amazing 11th-straight 50-win season for the Mavericks, again on the shoulders of Dirk, J-Kidd and crew. And with the arrival of Tyson Chandler and the emergence of Roddy Beaubois (once he returns from a broken foot), Dallas will have some fresh blood. The Mavs may not have a ring, but they do have our respect.
4	*Denver Nuggets	49	33	.598	53	29	.646
The Nuggets hope coach George Karl can return after another bout with cancer, and Karl hopes the Nuggets can return to top contender status in the West. To do so, Carmelo & Co. need to curb their worst tendencies (namely: selfish play, emotional outbursts) and get back to the kind of teamwork preached by Karl.

They have the nuggets with 49 wins, good for fourth behind LA, OKC, and Dallas and ahead of portland, San Antonia, Phoenix and Houston. They also forecast Miami to win 61 games. I think, unless Kmart comes back both earlier and more effective than expected that they will struggle to be a top four seed. A big trade that sets off a major winning streak after the all star break and they could be the two seed. I won't be surprised at all if OKC disappoints a little this season.